What win rate do you NEED to be profitable? Most traders have no idea. Find out instantly.
Most traders obsess over their win rate — "I need to win 70% of my trades!" But that's the wrong metric. A 70% win rate with poor risk/reward will still blow your account. A 40% win rate with strong R:R will print money.
The break-even win rate is the minimum win percentage you need to be profitable given your average win and loss sizes. It's calculated using this formula: Break-Even WR = Avg Loss / (Avg Win + Avg Loss)
For example, if you average +5% on wins and -3% on losses, your break-even win rate is 37.5%. Win more than 37.5% of your trades, and you're profitable. Win less, and you're slowly bleeding money.
Consider these two traders:
Trader A sounds impressive at first — 70% wins! But their poor risk management (risking 5% to make 2%) means they're unprofitable. Trader B, despite losing 60% of trades, has a strong R:R ratio and is consistently profitable.
This is why TargetHit focuses on expected return per trade (+1.90%) rather than win rate alone. Expected return = (Win Rate × Avg Win) - (Loss Rate × Avg Loss). It's the only number that matters.
TargetHit AI signals average +4.62% on wins and -2.44% on losses across 2,900+ tracked trades. This gives a break-even win rate of just 34.5%. With an actual 61.5% win rate, the system operates far above break-even — resulting in +1.90% expected return per trade.
Every signal is publicly tracked from entry to exit. No cherry-picking. No hiding losses. Just transparent math.