$
%
TargetHit default: 61.5%
%
TargetHit default: +4.62%
%
TargetHit default: -2.44%
days
Expected End Balance
-
Expected Gain
-
Expected Return
-
Max Expected Drawdown
-
Expected Value/Trade
-
Total Trades
-
Monte Carlo Simulation (100 Paths)
Growth Milestones
Time to 2x ($-) -
Time to 5x ($-) -
Time to 10x ($-) -
Get +1.90% Expected Return Per Trade
TargetHit AI signals deliver +1.90% expected return per trade. 2,900+ signals tracked. Every result publicly auditable. Free to try.
Try TargetHit Free →

Understanding Compound Trading Growth

Most compound calculators assume fixed returns and show unrealistic hockey-stick growth curves. Real trading involves wins AND losses in random sequences, creating drawdowns even with positive expectancy.

This calculator uses Monte Carlo simulation to model realistic trading outcomes. Instead of assuming smooth compounding, it simulates 100 different trading paths based on your win rate and average win/loss sizes. This reveals:

The pre-filled values come from TargetHit's live tracked performance: 61.5% win rate, +4.62% average win, -2.44% average loss. These stats produce +1.90% expected return per trade, which compounds into significant growth over time despite inevitable losing streaks.

Understanding the math behind compounding helps you set realistic expectations, properly size your positions, and avoid over-leveraging during drawdown periods.

Related Tools