Crypto Signal Results Late April 2026: 3,715 Wins Across 6,351 Tracked Trades

·14 min read

Every week, new crypto signal providers pop up on Twitter and Telegram promising 90% win rates and guaranteed profits. Every week, most of them disappear within a month, taking subscriber fees with them and leaving behind nothing but deleted channels and broken trust.

The signal industry has a credibility problem, and the root cause is simple: almost nobody publishes their full track record. Wins get screenshotted and promoted. Losses get quietly deleted. Without a complete, auditable history, there is no way to know whether a provider actually makes money over time.

TargetHit takes a different approach. Every signal we generate — every win and every loss — is publicly tracked from entry to exit. Nine years of data. No editing, no cherry-picking, no retroactive adjustments. This post is the latest performance review, covering our all-time numbers as of late April 2026, plus a detailed look at recent results, per-coin performance, and the edges driving the best returns.

If you are evaluating crypto trading signal providers right now, this is the kind of data you should demand from anyone asking for your money — or your attention.

All-Time Performance: The Complete Picture

As of April 24, 2026, TargetHit has generated and tracked 6,351 total signals across 54 crypto pairs. Here is the full breakdown:

Total Signals

6,351

Won

3,715

Lost

2,636

Win Rate

58.5%

Avg Win

+5.25%

Avg Loss

-2.54%

EV Per Trade

+2.02%

Markets Monitored

54 pairs

Years of Data

9

Let's be direct about what these numbers mean. A 58.5% win rate means that roughly 41.5% of our signals lose. That is not a typo. No legitimate trading system wins every trade, and anyone claiming win rates above 80% without a publicly auditable track record should be treated with extreme skepticism.

What makes this system profitable is the asymmetry between wins and losses. Our average win is +5.25% while our average loss is -2.54%. That means our wins are more than twice the size of our losses. When you combine a positive win rate with that kind of risk-reward ratio, you get a positive expected value of +2.02% per trade — meaning that over a large sample of trades, each signal is worth an average of +2.02% to your account.

This is the math that actually matters in trading. Not win rate alone. Not screenshot-worthy individual trades. Expected value per signal, calculated across thousands of trades, is the only metric that tells you whether a system makes money over time.

Why Transparency Is the Only Metric That Matters

There are hundreds of crypto signal providers operating right now. The majority share one thing in common: you cannot independently verify their performance. They post winning trades on social media. They show equity curves that only go up. They claim win rates that would make Renaissance Technologies jealous.

But try to find a complete, unedited log of every signal they have ever sent — including the losers, including the ugly drawdowns, including the weeks where nothing worked — and you will come up empty. That is not an accident. It is by design.

TargetHit records every signal from entry to exit. The data goes back 9 years. You can see every coin, every direction, every entry price, every exit price, and every result. If a signal lost 4%, it is right there in the database next to the one that gained 8%. This is not something we do reluctantly — it is the foundation of the entire platform.

When you are evaluating any signal provider in April 2026, the first question should always be: can I see every trade you have ever taken, including the losses? If the answer is no, move on.

Performance Breakdown by Coin

TargetHit monitors 54 crypto pairs, but the three majors — SOL, ETH, and BTC — account for the bulk of signal volume. Here is how each has performed across the entire tracked history:

CoinWin RateWinsAvg WinAvg Loss
ETH61.1%1,204+5.43%-2.59%
BTC60.0%555+4.64%-2.33%
SOL56.7%1,947+5.32%-2.58%

ETH: The Win Rate Leader

Ethereum continues to be the highest win-rate coin on TargetHit at 61.1% across 1,204 winning signals. ETH also leads in average win size at +5.43%, making it the most reliable asset for signal performance. This is likely due to ETH's relatively high liquidity and more predictable price behavior around key levels compared to smaller-cap assets.

BTC: Consistent and Controlled

Bitcoin signals carry a 60.0% win rate with 555 wins. The average loss on BTC is the tightest of the three majors at -2.33%, reflecting Bitcoin's generally lower volatility compared to altcoins. The average win is +4.64% — smaller than ETH and SOL, but the tighter risk profile makes BTC signals particularly suitable for traders who prioritize capital preservation.

SOL: Volume King

Solana generates more signals than any other coin on the platform, with 1,947 wins out of a massive pool of tracked trades. SOL's win rate of 56.7% is slightly lower than ETH and BTC, but its high signal frequency means it offers the most opportunities for traders who want to stay active. The +5.32% average win against a -2.58% average loss still delivers a strongly positive expected value.

Top Performing Edges in Late April 2026

TargetHit does not just send generic "buy" or "sell" signals. The platform runs 113 promoted edges — each one a distinct trading strategy with its own entry criteria, tracked independently. Edges are ranked by profit factor (total gains divided by total losses), which measures how many dollars you earn for every dollar you lose.

The average profit factor across all 113 promoted edges is 3.60x, meaning for every $1 lost, the average edge returns $3.60 in gains. Here are the current top performers:

Top Edges by Accuracy and Profit Factor

BTC-P5V5-0010

12 signals tracked

91.7% accuracy

12.57x profit factor

BTC-P5V5-0008

6 signals tracked

100% accuracy

10x profit factor

BTC-P5V5-0005

7 signals tracked

100% accuracy

10x profit factor

ETH-P4M-0004

6 signals tracked

83.3% accuracy

10x profit factor

A note on sample sizes: edges like BTC-P5V5-0008 and BTC-P5V5-0005 have 100% accuracy, but on only 6 and 7 signals respectively. Those are real results — not fabricated — but any edge with fewer than 30 signals should be viewed as still building its track record. The 91.7% accuracy on BTC-P5V5-0010 across 12 signals is more statistically meaningful, and the 12.57x profit factor there is exceptional.

This is another area where transparency matters. We do not hide the sample size. We show you exactly how many signals each edge has fired so you can make your own judgment about statistical reliability.

Recent Wins: Last 7 Days

Here is a snapshot of notable winning signals from the past week, giving you a feel for the kinds of trades the system is generating right now:

SOL LONGApr 22
+7%
ETH LONGApr 22
+3.5%
SOL SHORTApr 19
+6%
BTC LONGApr 17
+6%
ETH LONGApr 17 (multiple edges)
+10%

The April 17 ETH LONG is a standout — multiple edges fired simultaneously on the same setup, each independently identifying the opportunity. When several edges converge on the same signal, it often indicates a particularly high-conviction setup. That trade delivered +10%, roughly four times the average loss size.

The SOL SHORT on April 19 is also worth noting. Many traders are uncomfortable shorting, but in crypto, downside moves can be just as profitable as upside ones. The system generates both long and short signals, capturing opportunity in both directions.

Current Activity: 17 Active Signals, 113 Promoted Edges

As of this writing, there are 17 signals currently active — meaning they have been entered and are awaiting their exit targets. These are live, real-time positions being tracked on the platform right now.

The system maintains 113 promoted edges, each one a distinct strategy that has earned its place through forward-tested performance. The average profit factor across all promoted edges is 3.60x. To put that in context, a profit factor above 2.0x is generally considered strong by professional trading standards. The TargetHit average nearly doubles that threshold.

Free users can select up to 5 edges to follow, while VIP members get 10 edge selections plus access to VIP-exclusive edges and auto-trading through connected exchanges. This edge-selection model means you are not just subscribing to a firehose of signals — you choose the specific strategies that match your trading style and risk tolerance.

Understanding Expected Value: Why +2.02% Per Trade Changes Everything

Expected value (EV) is the single most important number in any trading system. It answers a simple question: on average, how much do you make per trade when you account for both wins and losses?

The formula is straightforward:

EV = (Win Rate x Avg Win) + (Loss Rate x Avg Loss)

EV = (0.585 x 5.25%) + (0.415 x -2.54%)

EV = 3.07% + (-1.05%)

EV = +2.02% per trade

A +2.02% expected value means that if you followed the system across hundreds of trades, your average return per trade would converge toward +2.02%. Some individual trades will lose 2-3%. Some will gain 5-10%. But the math works in your favor over the long run.

This is the fundamental difference between gambling and trading with an edge. In gambling, the house has a positive EV and you have a negative EV — the math guarantees you lose over time. With a positive-EV signal system, you are the house. Short-term variance is real, but the long-term trajectory is defined by the expected value.

With 6,351 tracked trades, the +2.02% EV figure at TargetHit is not a theoretical projection — it is a measured outcome from nearly a decade of real trading data.

The Honest Part: How Losses Fit the Picture

We have 2,636 losing signals in our history. That is not a small number. It represents 41.5% of all trades.

Any signal provider that does not openly discuss their losses is either hiding something or has not been around long enough to accumulate a meaningful sample. Losses are a mathematical certainty in any trading system. The question is not whether you will have them — it is whether your winners more than compensate for your losers.

At TargetHit, the average loss is -2.54%. Compared to an average win of +5.25%, that means the typical winning trade generates more than double what the typical losing trade costs. This is by design — the AI models are calibrated to identify setups where the risk-reward ratio is structurally favorable.

There will be losing days, losing weeks, and even losing months. If someone tells you their system never has drawdowns, they are either lying or have not traded long enough to experience one. Over 9 years and 6,351 trades, we have seen every kind of market condition. The system remains profitable because the edge is real and the math holds up over large samples.

Platform Growth: 2,233 Registered Users

TargetHit currently has 2,233 registered users. Growth has been steady, driven almost entirely by the performance data itself and word of mouth. We do not run influencer campaigns or buy fake testimonials.

The free tier is genuinely free — no credit card required, no time-limited trial. You sign up, select up to 5 edges, and watch them fire in real time. This is deliberate. We believe the data speaks for itself, and the best way to earn trust is to let people verify the results before asking for any money.

VIP membership at $150 per month unlocks additional edges, 10 edge selections, and auto-trading through supported exchanges including Binance, HyperLiquid, BYDFI, OKX, Bybit, and Bitget. But the free tier alone gives you enough to see whether the system delivers.

How to Get Started

If you are looking at crypto signal providers in April 2026, here is a practical approach to evaluating TargetHit — or anyone else:

  1. Sign up for free at targethit.ai. No credit card. No commitment. You get immediate access to the platform, the live signal feed, and the edge selection system.
  2. Browse the full signal history. Every trade from the last 9 years is auditable. Look at the wins. Look at the losses. Check the dates. Confirm the data is real.
  3. Select up to 5 edges. Pick edges based on coin preference, profit factor, win rate, or signal frequency. Mix coins and strategies for diversification.
  4. Watch them fire live. As the edges generate signals in real time, you will see the entries, the exits, and the results. No delay, no editing, no after-the-fact adjustments.
  5. Evaluate after a meaningful sample. Give it at least 20-30 signals before drawing conclusions. Short-term variance is real — a few days is not enough to assess any trading system.

If after following the signals live you are satisfied that the system delivers, you can upgrade to VIP for additional edges and auto-trading. If not, you have lost nothing. That is the point.

The Bottom Line

Late April 2026 performance at TargetHit stands at 3,715 wins across 6,351 tracked signals, a 58.5% win rate, and +2.02% expected value per trade. ETH leads in win rate at 61.1%, SOL leads in volume with 1,947 wins, and BTC offers the tightest risk profile with average losses of just -2.33%.

Top edges are running profit factors between 10x and 12.57x. There are 17 signals live right now and 113 promoted edges to choose from. All of it is publicly auditable, every trade recorded from entry to exit across 9 years of market data.

No provider is perfect. We lose 41.5% of our trades. We have bad weeks. But over 6,351 signals, the math is clear: this system generates a positive expected value, and every data point is there for you to verify.

In an industry full of hidden track records and fabricated screenshots, that level of transparency is the strongest signal of all.

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